Modeling Spatially and Temporally Complex Land‐Cover Change: The Case of Western Honduras*     

Darla K. Munroe  Jane Southworth  Catherine M. Tucker 《The Professional geographer》2004,56(4):544-559

This article presents an econometric analysis of land‐cover change in western Honduras. Ground‐truthed satellite image analysis indicates that between 1987 and 1996 net reforestation occurred in the 1,015‐km² study region. While some reforestation can be attributed to a 1987 ban on logging, the area of reforestation greatly exceeds that of previously clear‐cut areas. Further, new area was also deforested between 1987 and 1996. Thus, the observed land‐cover changes represent a complex mosaic of changing land‐use patterns across time and space. The analysis contributes to the literature on land‐cover change modeling in that: (1) it compares two econometric approaches to capture complex and often bidirectional changes in land cover from 1987 to 1996 as a function of agricultural suitability and transportation costs, and (2) it addresses techniques to identify and correct for spatial autocorrelation in a categorical regression framework.  相似文献   

Instability of a periodic system of faults     

Michel Campillo  Cristian Dascalu  Ioan R. Ionescu 《Geophysical Journal International》2004,159(1):212-222

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Magnetic quantification of urban pollution sources in atmospheric particulate matter   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

S. Spassov  R. Egli  F. Heller  D. K. Nourgaliev  J. Hannam 《Geophysical Journal International》2004,159(2):555-564

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河北怀来ML4.4地震前的地热异常   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

池海江  秦占梅  王长江 《山西地震》2005,(1):9-11,20

2002年8月3日15时57分在河北怀来发生了ML4．4地震，在震中距100km范围内的4个台站，三马坊、赤城、矾山、张家口台数字化地热观测均有一定的异常反映，其中，三马坊、赤城台有较明显的临震异常。介绍了各台的地热观测情况，利用差分法、减组合滤波等非潮汐方法进行了分析，指出，该震例总结对今后的地震监测和预报有一定的借鉴和参考作用。  相似文献   

黄土震陷灾害典型震例的综合研究   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6       下载免费PDF全文

张振中  张冬丽  刘红玫 《地震工程学报》2005,27(1):36-41,46

阐述了1995年甘肃永登5.8级地震时造成的黄土震陷灾害形成条件、震害形态特征、黄土的基本性质及湿陷性和静、动土力学参数与震陷灾害的成因关系。并用震陷量预测计算方法和三维有限元数值模拟方法检验了黄土震陷灾害预测的理论、方法并解释了永登5.8 级地震黄土震陷现象。  相似文献   

小波分析方法在提取井水位潮汐因子震前变化特征的初步应用          下载免费PDF全文

杨从杰  冯志生  宋德伟  张秀霞  梅卫萍  张晓勇 《地震工程学报》2005,27(2):163-167

运用小波分析方法对1990年常熟、1995年苍山和1996年南黄海三个中强地震前江苏地区井水位固体潮的变化特征进行了研究，发现井水位M2波潮汐因子在地震前几个月几乎都出现一个幅度较大、周期为半月或一个月左右的异常信号，表明小波分析方法在处理和分析井水位潮汐资料方面可能是一种有效的方法。  相似文献   

地震活动相关性定量方法及其在印度板块动力触角对中国西部地区地震影响中的应用          下载免费PDF全文

杨立明  梅秀萍 《地震工程学报》2005,27(4):317-321

针对地震活动相关性分析的实际需要,提出了一种定量分析不同区域地震活动相关性的方法。以此研究了印度板块东、西触角强震对青藏块体地震活动的影响,结果表明阿萨姆地区的强震活动与青藏块体的强震活动具有很高的相关性,而帕米尔地区的强震影响较小。通过与R值评分及基于板块动力作用分析结果的比较,证实了本方法的有效性。  相似文献   

Texture and petrology of modern river, beach and shelf sands in a volcanic back-arc setting, northeastern Japan     

Atsushi  Noda 《Island Arc》2005,14(4):687-707

Abstract The focus in the present study is on characterizing spatial patterns of textural and petrological variabilities, and on evaluating mechanisms influencing the textural and petrological components of modern river, beach and shelf sands in a volcanically active back‐arc tectonic setting. Abashiri Bay and the surrounding area in eastern Hokkaido, Japan, has volcanic source land within a back‐arc region associated with subduction of the Pacific Plate beneath the Okhotsk (North American) Plate. A total of 41 river, beach and shelf sands were obtained for grain‐size and modal composition analyses. Multivariate analytical techniques of hierarchical cluster and principal component analyses were performed on the textural and petrological data for investigating relations among quantitative variables. On the basis of grain‐size data, four sedimentary zones were identified: zone I, palimpsest zone; zone II, relict zone; zone III, modern (proteric) zone; zone IV, coastal sedimentary zone. All sands are feldspatholithic and quartz‐deficient. The framework (quartz, feldspar and rock fragment) modal compositions were also classified into four clusters, A–D. The characteristic components of each cluster are as follows: cluster A, felsic volcanic rock fragments; cluster B, andesitic–basaltic volcanic rock fragments; cluster C, mixed or plagioclase; cluster D, sedimentary rock fragments. Almost all sands in western and central Abashiri Bay belong to cluster A, where the original compositions are influenced by Kutcharo pyroclastic flow deposits. Andesitic–basaltic lava and Neogene volcaniclastic and sedimentary rocks have a major influence on the compositions of shelf sands in eastern Abashiri Bay. The modal compositions are basically controlled by the source lithology. Compositional maturity (percentage of quartz to feldspar and rock fragments; Q/FR%) slightly increased, in order, from river (1.2), zone IV (coastal, 1.7), zone II (relict, 2.2), zone I (palimpsest, 3.6), to zone III (modern proteric, 7.0). Greater maturity in the recycled sediments is indicative of weathering under the sea or abrasion by transportation induced by sea‐level fluctuations, waves, or sea currents. Several controlling factors – (i) source lithological; (ii) mineralogical; (iii) climatic; and (iv) geomorphological controls – might still cause low maturity through all sedimentary zones other than the continental margin sands previously reported.  相似文献   

Seismic earth pressures on rigid and flexible retaining walls     

P.N. Psarropoulos  G. Klonaris  G. Gazetas 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2005,25(7-10):795-809

While limiting-equilibrium Mononobe–Okabe type solutions are still widely used in designing rigid gravity and flexible cantilever retaining walls against earthquakes, elasticity-based solutions have been given a new impetus following the analytical work of Veletsos and Younan [23]. The present paper develops a more general finite-element method of solution, the results of which are shown to be in agreement with the available analytical results for the distribution of dynamic earth pressures on rigid and flexible walls. The method is then employed to further investigate parametrically the effects of flexural wall rigidity and the rocking base compliance. Both homogeneous and inhomogeneous retained soil is considered, while a second soil layer is introduced as the foundation of the retaining system. The results confirm the approximate convergence between Mononobe–Okabe and elasticity-based solutions for structurally or rotationally flexible walls. At the same time they show the beneficial effect of soil inhomogeneity and that wave propagation in the underlying foundation layer may have an effect that cannot be simply accounted for with an appropriate rocking spring at the base.  相似文献   

Effects of inertial and kinematic interaction on seismic behavior of pile with embedded foundation   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

Kohji Tokimatsu  Hiroko Suzuki  Masayoshi Sato 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2005,25(7-10):753-762

Effects of inertial and kinematic forces on pile stresses are studied based on large shaking table tests on pile-structure models with a foundation embedded in dry and liquefiable sand deposits. The test results show that, if the natural period of the superstructure, T_b, is less than that of the ground, T_g, the ground displacement tends to be in phase with the inertial force from the superstructure, increasing the shear force transmitted to the pile. In contrast, if T_b is greater than T_g, the ground displacement tends to be out of phase with the inertial force, restraining the pile stress from increasing. With the effects of earth pressures on the embedded foundation and pile incorporated in, pseudo-static analysis is conducted to estimate maximum moment distribution in pile. It is assumed that the maximum moment is equal to the sum of the two stresses caused by the inertial and kinematic effects if T_b<T_g or the square root of the sum of the squares of the two if T_b>T_g. The estimated pile stresses are in good agreement with the observed ones regardless of the occurrence of soil liquefaction.  相似文献